A study published in Nature Medicine predicts a significant rise in heat-related deaths in Europe by the end of the 21st century due to climate change, with mortality expected to increase by nearly 50% under worst-case scenarios.
Researchers from the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, led by Dr. Pierre Masselot, analyzed climate change’s impact on mortality in 854 urban areas across Europe. Their findings indicate that heat-related deaths will surpass the reduction in cold-related mortality, even under optimal adaptation measures. Under the worst-case climate scenario (SSP3-7.0), overall mortality due to climate change is projected to increase by 49.9% by 2099.
The study identifies Mediterranean and Eastern European regions as the most vulnerable to rising temperatures, while Northern Europe may experience a slight decline in temperature-related mortality. Dr Masselot emphasized the need for immediate action, stating,
The consequences could be severe without intervention, particularly for nations with already high temperatures. However, adopting sustainable climate policies could prevent millions of premature deaths by the end of the century.
Disclaimer: Climate change projections reflect general trends and uncertainties. Policymakers and individuals should seek expert guidance for localized risk assessment and adaptation strategies.
